Nate Silver Quotes

• To the extent that you can find ways where you’re making predictions, there’s no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don’t know the answer to in advance.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Uncategorized

  Tags in Yourself, Find, Making

• There’s always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Risk

  Tags in Unknown

• The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital ‘A,’ don’t correlate very well with who’s actually good at making predictions.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Uncategorized

  Tags in Good, Making, Actually

• The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Economy

  Tags in Public, Economists

• The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Uncategorized

  Tags in Same, Problem, Wrong

• The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Uncategorized

  Tags in Good, Yourself, Making

• Success makes you less intimidated by things.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Success

  Tags in Makes, Less

• Remember, the Congress doesn’t get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Uncategorized

  Tags in Remember, Public, Congress

• People still don’t appreciate how ephemeral success is.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Success

  Tags in Still, Appreciate

• People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Uncategorized

  Tags in Toward, Happier, Outlook

• People don’t have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Uncategorized

  Tags in Good, Light, Sense

• People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Uncategorized

  Tags in Heart, Desire, Importance

• On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Uncategorized

  Tags in Play, Around, Themselves

• Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Uncategorized

  Tags in Boring, Elections

• It’s a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Uncategorized

  Tags in Strange, Become, Whole

• If you’re keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Uncategorized

  Tags in Yourself, Boring, Looking

• In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Politics

  Tags in Whole, Off

• In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Uncategorized

  Tags in Data, Creative, Baseball

• If you have reason to think that yesterday’s forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Uncategorized

  Tags in Yesterday, Reason, Wrong

• If there’s a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn’t.

  Nate Silver

  Topics in Uncategorized

  Tags in President, Congress

Nate Silver (74)

Birth:	13th January, 1978
Nationality:	American
Profession:	Statistician, Writer

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Today's Anniversary - 18th December

Births

• 1954 - Ray Liotta
• 1968 - Rachel Griffiths
• 1970 - Victoria Pratt
• 1946 - Steven Biko
• 1913 - Willy Brandt

Deaths

• 1999 - Robert Bresson
• 2011 - Vaclav Havel
• 1975 - Theodosius Dobzhansky
• 2008 - W. Mark Felt
• 1892 - Richard Owen